Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students, 

you can now find the results of the re-exam on your personal status page. If you want to inspect your exam, drop by at Alex' Office (325, E.1.3) until next Friday (18.10.19) whenever the door is open. 

We wish you all the best with your future studies. 

Dear students,
to support you with your preparation for the re-exam, we will offer two office hours on

• Friday, September 27, 10 am and
• Wednesday, October 2, 2 pm

in E1.3, Room 328. Please feel free to visit us and ask any questions.

The re-exam will take place at 10 am on the 9th of October in E1.3, HS 0.02. The exam will last 90 minutes. You are allowed to bring a not programmable calculator and one DIN A4 sheet with your handwritten notes. The sheet can be described on both sides. Furthermore, we will provide a formulary, containing the most important formulas and information about basic distributions, which will be attached to the exam. Please do not forget to register for the re-exam in the lsf.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

you can now find the results of the main exam on your Personal Status page. The exam inspection will take place on Wednesday the 24th of July in E1.3 Room 328 from 10 am to 12 am.

We set the number of minimal points for passing the exam to 40, which was close to the average number of points achieved (including no-show-ups and early-leavers).

The exams are oriented towards the Exercise Sheets and not towards the Quizzes. It is important to practice the application of the concepts additional to the theoretical knowledge about them. Our impression is that many students with <60 points could perform much better with more preparation time. 
We would like to support those who want to improve their grade through the re-exam and will make additional offers for preparation end of September. Furthermore, if you have questions during your preparation, don’t hesitate to drop by at Alex’ and Timo’s offices.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students, 

you now find the results of the last quiz on your Personal Status page.  

Also on your Personal Status page, you can finde whether you have admission to the exam, which means you passed at least 10 quizzes and you are  furthermore registered in the LSF. If you think you should have admission to the exam but you haven't, please contact us immediately. 

The exam will take place at 10 am on the 17th of July in E1.3, HS 0.02 and will last 90 minutes.You are allowed to bring a not programmable calculator and one DIN A4 sheet with your handwritten notes to the exam. You can write on both sides of the sheet. Furthermore, we will provide a formulary, containing the most important formulas and information about basic distributions, which will be attached to the exam. You can find this formulary under Materials. 

The presentation of the last exercise sheet, including the bonus exercises, will take place next week on Monday the 15th of July in E2.1 Room 0.01. The solutions of the exercise sheet will be available under Materials afterwards.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

tomorrow will be the last quiz. Please note that all students (independent of their group) will write the quiz in E2.1, SR 007. 

Furthermore, we would like to remind you that tomorrow is the last day that you can register for the exam in the LSF. If you want to write the exam but you aren't registered yet, please register until tomorrow. 

 

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

you now find the results of the tenth quiz and of the eight and ninth bonus exercise on your Personal Status page. The playlist with the videos for next Wednesday, as well as new chapters of the script are now online and can be found under Materials.

On your Personal Status page you find the possibility to upload the current bonus exercise. You are allowed to work in groups of at most 3 people. Please make sure that only one person of your team submits the exercise and that the name and matriculation numbers of all team members are written on top of your sheet.

The presentation of the tenth exercise sheet, including the bonus exercise, will take place next week on Monday the 1st of July in E2.1 Room 0.01. The solutions of the exercise sheets will be available under Materials afterwards.

The exam will take place at 10 am on the 17th of July in E1.3, HS 0.02. The exam will last 90 minutes. You are allowed to bring a not programmable calculator and one DIN A4 sheet with your handwritten notes. The sheet can be described on both sides. Furthermore, we will provide a formulary, containing the most important formulas and information about basic distributions, which will be attached to the exam. We will publish this formulary at the 10th of July at the lastest, such that you have enough time to prepare your handwritten notes. Please do not forget to register for the exam in the lsf. 

The re-exam will take place on the 9th of October. Further details will be published on time. 

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

You now find the results of the ninth quiz on your Personal Status page. The playlist with the videos for next Wednesday, as well as new chapters of the script are now online and can be found under Materials.

On your Personal Status page you find the possibility to upload the current bonus exercise. You are allowed to work in groups of at most 3 people. Please make sure that only one person of your team submits the exercise and that the name and matriculation numbers of all team members are written on top of your sheet.

The presentation of the ninth exercise sheet, including the bonus exercise, will take place next week on Monday the 24th of June in E2.1 Room 0.01. The solutions of the exercise sheets will be available under Materials afterwards.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

please note that due to server maintenance work, it may be possible that our CMS system is temporarily not accessible today and/or tomorrow.

You now find the results of the eighth quiz and of the seventh bonus exercise on your Personal Status page. The playlist with the videos for next Wednesday will also appear today and can then be found under Materials or accessed via the following Link.

On your Personal Status page you find the possibility to upload the current bonus exercise. You are allowed to work in groups of at most 3 people. Please make sure that only one person of your team submits the exercise and that the name and matriculation numbers of all team members are written on top of your sheet.

The presentation of the seventh and eighth exercise sheet, including the bonus exercises, will take place next week on Monday the 17th of June in E2.1 Room 0.01. The solutions of the exercise sheets will be available under Materials afterwards.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

you now find the results of the seventh quiz and of the sixth bonus exercise on your Personal Status page. The playlist with the videos for next Wednesday, as well as new chapters of the script are now online and can be found under Materials.

On your Personal Status page you find the possibility to upload the current bonus exercise. You are allowed to work in groups of at most 3 people. Please make sure that only one person of your team submits the exercise and that the name and matriculation numbers of all team members are written on top of your sheet.

Since there is a holiday on Monday the 10th of June there will be no presentation of the exercise solutions next week. We will present the solutions of Exercise Sheet 7 on Monday the 17th of June together with the solutions of Sheet 8.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

you now find the results of the sixth quiz and of the fifth bonus exercise on your Personal Status page. The playlist with the videos for next Wednesday, as well as new chapters of the script are now online and can be found under Materials.

Please note that regarding our regulations you are only allowed to fail two of the quizzes. Failing more than two quizzes means you are not admitted to the exam. 

On your Personal Status page you find the possibility to upload the current bonus exercise. You are allowed to work in groups of at most 3 people. Please make sure that only one person of your team submits the exercise and that the name and matriculation numbers of all team members are written on top of your sheet. Please note that the probabilities in the exercise were wrong. We uploaded a corrected version with updated probabilities. 

The presentation of the sixth exercise sheet, including the bonus exercise, will take place next week on Monday the 3rd of June in E2.1 Room 0.01. The solutions of the exercise sheets will be available under Materials afterwards.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

you now find the results of the fifth quiz and of the fourth bonus exercise on your Personal Status page. The playlist with the videos for next Wednesday, as well as new chapters of the script are now online and can be found under Materials.

Please note that it is not our intention to throw you out of the course with the quick tests. We therefore grade the tests quite generously. If you are still struggling to achieve to necessary points, you should possibly adapt your preparation strategy. You are also encouraged to ask us directly or use the Forum, if there are unclarities in the videos/lecture notes.

On your Personal Status page you find the possibility to upload the current bonus exercise. You are allowed to work in groups of at most 3 people. Please make sure that only one person of your team submits the exercise and that the name and matriculation numbers of all team members are written on top of your sheet.

The presentation of the fifth exercise sheet, including the bonus exercise, will take place next week on Monday the 27th of May in E2.1 Room 0.01. The solutions of the exercise sheets will be available under Materials afterwards.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

you now find the results of the fourth quiz and of the third bonus exercise on your Personal Status page. The playlist with the videos for next Wednesday, as well as new chapters of the lecture notes are now online and can be found under Materials.
Note that since some answers in question 3 were unintentionally mean and there were some typos in the lecture notes concerning the same topic, we "discarded" question 3 from the test, i.e., each of you got the 2 points for this question, independent of the answers given.  Also, for the web-surfer question we accepted two solutions (for alpha=1/3 and 1-alpha=1/3) as the meaning of alpha and 1-alpha is easily mixed up.

On your Personal Status page you find the possibility to upload the current bonus exercise. You are allowed to work in groups of at most 3 people. Please make sure that only one person of your team submits the exercise and that the name and matriculation numbers of all team members are written on top of your sheet.

The presentation of the fourth exercise sheet, including the bonus exercise, will take place next week on Monday the 20th of May in E2.1 Room 0.01. The solutions of the exercise sheets will be available under Materials afterwards.

Since there are no direct conflicts with other exams, we fixed the exam date to the 17th of July (usual lecture time slot 10:00 to 12:00). The exact starting time, duration and room number(s) for the exam will be announced soon.

Also note that we found a larger room for the Wednesday group in building E1.7, SR 008. The new room is SR 001 in the same building. If you don't find the new room (001), you can go to the old one (008) to be picked up there.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

you can now find the results of the third quiz and of the second bonus exercise on your  Personal Status page. The playlist with the videos for next Wednesday is now online and can be found under Materials.

Also on your  Personal Status page you can find the possibility to upload the current bonus exercise. You are allowed to work in groups of at most 3 people. Please make sure that only one person of your team submits the exercise and that the name and matriculation numbers of all team members are written on top of your sheet.

The presentation of the third exercise sheet, including the bonus exercise, will take place next week on Monday the 13th of May in E2.1 Room 0.01. The solutions of the exercise sheets will be available under Materials afterwards.

We plan to have the final exam on the 17th of July. If you have any problems with that appointment, please inform us as soon as possible but up to the next tutorial (May 13) at the latest.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

you can now find the results of the second quiz and of the first bonus exercise on your  Personal Status page.

Also on your  Personal Status page you can find the possibility to upload the current bonus exercise. You are allowed to work in groups of at most 3 people. Please make sure that only one person of your team submits the exercise and that the name and matriculation numbers of all team members are written on top of your sheet.

Due to the public holiday next week, the next Group Learning and thus the next quiz will take place on May 8! We will again start the quiz at 10.05 am, so please make sure you are on time. The corresponding video playlist and lecture notes can now be found under Materials.

Nevertheless, the presentation of the first (and possibly second) exercise sheet, including the bonus exercise, will take place next week on Monday the 29th of April in E2.1 Room 0.01. The solutions of the exercise sheets will be available under Materials afterwards.

Best,

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear Students,

the playlist with the videos for next Wednesday is now online. Please, watch the videos to be prepared for next Wednesday.While in earlier years we used Matlab for programming and visualization, we now decided to use mostly Python for this iteration. The lecture notes and the videos will still contain examples in Matlab code. However, we recommend that you become familiar with Python as it is one of the most important languages in the area of stochastic modelling and statistics as well as for machine learning. We will adapt the videos and lecture notes at some point.
On the next exercise sheet, we will have some programming exercises (mostly plotting of distributions). To solve the exercises with Python, you can either use some online programming platform, like Colaboratory, or install Python on your laptop. We also recommend using Jupyter Notebook to organize your projects. Please make sure that your programming setup is ready for next Wednesday and bring Laptops or Tablets with you (one per group).
Note that the quick test covers only the videos and not the plotting of distributions using Python.

Here are some additional links you may find helpful:
- Colaboratory
- Python Setup
- Introduction to Matplotlib
- Jupyter Notebook

Best regards and happy holidays from

the team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear Students,

you can now find the results of the first quiz on your Personal Status page. Please notice that, beginning next Wednesday, the quizzes will start at 10.05 am! Please be on time as we will not grand you more time if you are late.

Also on your Personal Status page you can find the possibility to upload the bonus exercise. Successfully handing in 6 Exercises gives you a 0.3 bonus for your final grade. You are allowed to work in groups of at most 3 people. You are not allowed to copy from other groups. If we catch you plagiarizing, there will be further consequences than just loosing the bonus.

Furthermore, you can now find Errata sections for the materials in the Forum.

Best,

The team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear Students,
due to the high number of participants we have to distribute you for the Wednesday sessions into two rooms (Building E1.7, SR 008 and Building E2.1, SR 007). Please find your room assignment in your Personal Status.
Furthermore, if you have clashes with other lectures, it will be possible to write the test 5 minutes earlier at 10:10 in your assigned room.

Best,
The team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis

Dear students,

we uploaded some statistics about the calibration test from the first lecture under Materials. As some of you had problems with the basics of probability theory, we recommend you to watch the recap videos (you can also find them under Materials). As there are many videos, especially prepare the topics you had problems with. We will also offer an extra tutorial on Monday about the basics of probabilities and random variables. We will announce the room on Sunday  evening when we know the total number of participants.

Furthermore you can now find the preparation video for the first lecture in the Materials section. This week covers just a small number of videos, giving you some time to work on the recap.

Best,

The team of Probabilistic Models and Data Analysis